Here are the show notes for Episode 141.
Just as a side note, Keep in mind that regardless of who gets elected as president, they cannot stop the coming economic collapse. There’s too much damage that’s been done to the economy for too many decades for a single administration to be able to fix it. It would be great if the next presidential administration, regardless of who it is, would enact measures to start us in the right direction. Though, we all know that it’s not likely to happen. Just wanted to make sure that people aren’t expecting a quick fix to the economy.
Some Thoughts on Hurricane Sandy –
- Hurricane season is June through November. So, not only is this hurricane still within the normal season, but there’s still another month to go!
- An important consideration to not drop your guard, simply because it doesn’t seem like hurricane season. Likewise, it’s prudent to expect early (or late) winter storms.
- This hurricane is also shows us a lesson in synergistic effects. The energy and moisture from the hurricane is merging with the winter storm over W. Virginia.
- You should always be thinking, “what if X happens?”
- Disasters like this are a good time to go over your preparedness plan and look for things that you might have overlooked.
- Some parts of the city will be without power for 4 days. Now we get to see how bad crime gets (liekly pretty bad).
Let’s talk about the stages of a disaster. Keep in mind that I’m looking at this from the standpoint of an individual that is trying to be prepared.
The Four Phases of Emergency Management
- The Four Phases of Emergency Management article, for more info.
- These are the traditional phases that emergency managers look at.
- Some places have added Prevention as a fifth element, though I personally I think that’s part of Mitigation.
Stages of a Disaster: This is how I look at it, in terms what being a prepper.
- Long Term Analysis – looking at possible scenarios and ‘what if’ situations.
- Forecast – when there is notice of a pending disaster. This is when you should kick your plan into a high state of readiness.
- Emergence – this is the point where even the most stubborn or ignorant can’t deny that it’s going to happen. This is the point when the average person takes action. Examples, Hurricane Sandy, winter storms, tornados, etc.
- Impact – this is the disaster event itself.
- Immediate Aftermath – this is the period immediately after the event is over. The bigger the event, the more confusion there is.
- Crime Increase – This is dependent on the magnitude of the disaster, the region it occurred in, and the duration without services. It can also begin just before the impact.
- Recovery and Cleanup – people will try to put their lives back together as fast as possible, but it often requires help from outside the effected area.
- This might be a good time to talk about trigger events. A listener named Rob wrote in to ask:
- “Could you please do a podcast on trigger events that would point to an impeding crunch situation. There are many sources out there that tell you what you should do once your indicators occur, but very little on what those trigger events might be. “
- Trigger Events:
- A trigger event is what you determine is the point at which you’re going to take action or implement a portion of your preparedness plan.
- Your trigger point should be at the Forecast Stage.
- Most people will react at the Emergence Stage, and run out to buy whatever it is they think they need to survive.
- The price of diesel fuel and how fast I travel.
- Hurricane or blizzard – your trigger should be when it’s forecasted that there’s a good chance of it effecting your area.
- Economic collapse – this is a long emergency and can be rather difficult to know what the trigger points are going to be. I think we’re currently in the beginning stages of mass inflation; should that be a trigger point? Probably, but it’s not likely that I would take any different action than I would anyway for rising prices. An event like this is definitely better curbed with plenty of preparedness before it gets to the trigger point.
- If you heard the interview with Vincent Cate, he pointed out that when a government or central bank comes out and specifically says, “we’re not going to do X,” that should be a trigger point, as you now know that X is about it happen.
- For an economic collapse, go back and review episode 119 – The Current Economy – Is It Getting Better? In it, I listed a series of questions that you can periodically ask yourself to gauge how the economy is doing. I also covered an article in depth from InternationalMan.com about the 11 stages of the crash.
- I would suggest going through those stages, keeping in mind that we’re currently at stage three, and set up your trigger events, based on those stages.